Program


Monday, 18 November 2013
(Room C1, WMO)

08:00-08:30 Morning Coffee and Registration
08:30-09:00 Workshop opening ceremony
Representatives from WMO (H. Puempel; WMO; Chief, Aeronautical Meteorology Division), ICAO (G. Brock; ICAO, Meteorology Section), University of Geneva (Ll. Fontboté; Vice Dean of Faculty of Science)
Session 1A – Progress since 2010 and ongoing projects
Conveners: A. Folch, H. Puempel
09:00-09:15 Introduction to the session
S. Loughlin (BGS, UK)
09:00-09:15 C. Bonadonna (UNIGE, Switzerland)
Outcomes from the first IUGG-WMO workshop on Ash Dispersal Forecast
and Civil Aviation (November 18-20, 2010)
09:30-09:45 M. Guffanti (USGS, USA)
Scientific Progress and Recommendations from the IVATF
09:45-10:00 S. Loughlin (BGS, UK)
Summary of volcanology projects since 2010
10:00-10:15 I. Lisk (WMO, UK)
Volcanoes and Aviation - Detection, Prediction and Expectation
10:15-10:30 R. Clarkson (Rolls Royce, UK)
The Impact Volcanic Ash has on Jet Engines - Latest Understanding
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:15 L. Clarisse (ULB, Belgium)
The Support to Aviation Control Service, an overview and recent developments
11:15-11:30 A. Haefele (MeteoSwiss, Switzerland)
A European network for ground based profiling of wind and aerosols E-PROFILE
11:30-11:45 F. Prata (NILU, Norway)
The Volcanic Ash Strategic initiative Team-VAST: Advanced satellite retrievals of volcanic ash and SO2
11:45-12:00 F. Ferrucci (The Open University, Milton Keynes, U.K.)
Real-time global volcano monitoring by geostationary and polar orbiting payloads
12:00-12:15 E. Carboni (Oxford University, UK)
SMASH overview and ash related projects at University of Oxford
12:15-12:30 S. Mobbs (Leeds University, UK)
Observing and Modelling Near- to Far-Field Plume Processes: Update on the VANAHEIM Project
12:30-12:45 A. Neri (INGV, Italy)
The contributions of the EU-funded MEDiterranean SUpersite Volcanoes (MED-SUV) project to the assessment of volcanic ash hazard
12:45-13:00 M. Gudmundsson (University of Iceland, Iceland)
FUTUREVOLC: A European supersite project on an integrated monitoring network for Icelandic eruptions
12:45-14:30 Lunch (WMO cafeteria)
Session 1B – Operational response to recent eruptions: practice and challenges
Conveners: M. Hort, C. Bonadonna
14:30–14:45 R. Potts (Darwin VAAC, Australia)
Dispersion Modelling and the Provision of Warnings for Volcanic Ash in the Australian Region
14:45–15:00 C. Davis (Wellington VAAC, New Zealand)
The eruption of Mt. Tongariro on August 6th 2012: Operational respon- se and dispersion modelling challenges
15:00–15:15 S. Osores (SMN on behalf of VAAC Buenos Aires, Argentina)
The Puyehue-Cordón Caulle re-suspended volcanic ash event
15:15–15:30 N. Ek (Montreal VAAC, Canada)
A Case Study of Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Sensitivity: Implications for Volcanic Ash Modelling
15:30–15:45 N. Asencio (Toulouse VAAC, France)
MOCAGE Accident description and operational use
15:45–16:00 T. Ueyama (Tokyo VAAC, Japan)
Volcanic Ash Fall Forecasts of Japan Meteorological Agency
16.00-16:30 Coffee Break)
16:30–16:45 C. Witham (London VAAC, UK)
VAAC London operational response and developments following the recent Icelandic eruptions
16:45–17:00 J. Osiensky (Anchorage VAAC, USA)
Data integration, analysis/forecast process, and collaboration: Path toward a global harmonization of volcanic ash products and services
17:00–17:15 J. Kibler (Washington VAAC, USA)
Building relationships for better ash products: Overcoming language barriers, limited observational data, technology limitations and inaccurate weather models by enhancing communication in equatorial locations
17:15–17:30 C. Newhall (WOVO)
A view from the volcano observatory
17:30–17:45 P. Webley (AVO, USA)
Lessons learned from North Pacific Volcanoes: AVO, KVERT and SVERT
17:45–18:00 M. Coltelli (INGV, Catania, Italy)
The 2011-2013 lava fountains of Mt. Etna forming volcanic ash clouds have represented a test case for observatory operations in support to aviation safety management
18:00–18:15 S. Karlsdóttir (IMO, Iceland)
Monitoring volcanoes in Iceland; an update
18:15-18:30 Closing of first day of conference
18:30-20:30 Ice breaker/Poster session



Tuesday, 19 November 2013
(Room C1, WMO)

Session 2A – Characterization of Eruption Source Parameters
Conveners: C. Bonadonna, S. Loughlin
08:30-08:45 Introduction to the session
P. Webley (University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA)
08:45-09:00 A. Höskuldsson
FUTUREVOLC real-time tephra sampling: a state-of-the-art mobile laboratory to characterize eruptive dynamics and enhance ash-dispersal forecasting
09:00-09:15 S. Valade (University of Florence, Italy)
Ground-based imaging of volcanic plumes for mass flux
09:15-09:30 F. Marzano (Roma University, Italy)
Remote Sensing of Volcanic Ash Plumes Using Microwave Scanning Weather Radars
09:30-09:45 L. Mona (CNR Potenza, Italy)
Four-dimensional distribution of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull volcanic cloud over Europe observed by EARLINET
09:45-10:00 M. Ripepe (University of Florence, Italy)
Characterization of eruption source parameters through infrasound
10:00-10:15 M. Pavolonis (NOAA/NESDIS, USA)
Development of a System for Quantitatively Analysing Volcanic Clouds
10:15-10:30 M. Watson (Bristol University, UK)
Detection and quantification of volcanogenic sulphur dioxide using orbital, sub-orbital and ground-based instrumentation
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
11:00-11:15 S. Lane (Lancaster University, UK)
Models and experimental investigations of particle aggregation
11:15-11:30 A. Durant (NILU, Norway)
Ash particle aggregation governed by hydrometeor formation in volcanic clouds
11:30-11:45 K. Weber (University of Dusseldorf, Germany)
Airborne in-situ measurements in volcanic plumes with light aircraft - examples of research flights during eruptions of Eyjfjallajökull, Grimsvötn, Etna, Stromboli and Sakurajima volcano
11:45-12:00 R. Meerkötter (DLR, Germany)
VolcATS – Volcanic ash impact on the Air Transport System
12:00-12:15 M. Bursik (Buffalo University, USA)
Dynamics of bent-over plumes and MER calculation
12:15-12:30 Y. Suzuki (Tokyo University, Japan)
3D numerical simulation of volcanic plume dynamics and ash dispersal
12:30-12:45 C. Connor (USF, USA)
Eruption frequency and ESP uncertainty
12:45-13:00 L. Mastin (USGS, USA)
Compilation of a global eruption dataset with source parameters and observations for model validation
13:00-14:15 Lunch (WMO cafeteria)
Session 2B – Characterization of Eruption Source Parameters
14:30-16:00 Break-out sessions
16:00-16:30 Coffee Break
16:45-18:00 Plenary discussion
Mediators: Organizing committee
18:15 Closing of second day of conference
18:15-19:45 Poster session
20:30 Meeting dinner
Restaurant Vieux-Bois,12 Avenue de la Paix,1202 Geneve.



Wednesday, 20 November 2013
(Room C1, WMO)

Session 3A– Ash and gas dispersal modelling
Conveners: P. Webley, A. Folch
08:45-09:00 Introduction to the session
M. Hort (Met. Office, UK)
09:00-09:15 S. Galmarini (EC/DG -JRC/IES)
TANSTAAFL: issues to keep in mind when using multi-model ensembles
09:15-09:30 A. Stohl (NILU, Norway)
Inverse modelling of source term and data assimilation
09:30-09:45 R. Denlinger (USGS - CVO, USA)
Improving ash cloud forecasts via Bayesian learning algorithms
09:45-10:00 M. Herzog (Cambridge University, UK)
Assessing the potential to observe volcanic ash clouds from space by combining volcanic plume simulations with microwave radiometric remote sensing
10:00-10:15 A. Schmidt (University of Leeds, UK)
Sulfur pollution from Icelandic volcanic eruptions
10:15-10:30 A. Costa (INGV Bologna, Italy)
Modelling strategies for particle aggregation in volcanic plumes
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break
Session 3B –Ash and gas dispersal modelling
11:00-13:30 Break-out sessions
List of groups for break-out sessions will be provided at the meeting
13:30-14:30 Lunch (WMO cafeteria)
14:45-16:15 Plenary discussion
Mediators: Organizing committee
16:15-16:45 Coffee Break
16:45-17:15 Presentation of main points to include in consensual document
Mediators: Organizing Committee
17:30 Closing of Conference



List of Posters

P-01 U. Kueppers (LMU, Germany)
“VERTIGO” (FP7–people–2013–ITN) volcanic ash: field, experimental and numerical investigations of processes during its lifecycle
P-02 B.M. Steensen (Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Norway)
The national Norwegian ash project
P-03 V. Ahluwalia (Ministry of Defence, UK)
UK MOD Volcanic Ash Research Programme
P-04 G. Wotawa (National Meteorological Centre, Austria)
Operational demonstration services for volcanic ash prediction - activities of the Austrian Meteorological Service (ZAMG) as part of the ESA project VAST
P-05 J. Dehn (University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA)
A University-Based Startup Company to Enable Near Real-Time Decision Making of Volcanic Hazards
P-06 S. Carn (Michigan Technological University, USA)
NASA Volcanic Cloud Products for Aviation Hazard Mitigation
P-07 G. Pujol (Servicio Meteorologico Nacional, Argentina)
Space-borne Operational Products for Volcanic Ash Cloud Monitoring in Argentina
P-08 S. Millington (Met Office, UK)
The application of satellite data to support the London VAAC
P-09 S. Kox (DLR-Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Germany)
A new approach on the detection of volcanic ash clouds
P-10 L. Merucci (INGV, Italy)
The APhoRISM project: MACE integrated approach for volcanic products
P-11 M. Boichu (IPSL, France)
Inverting for hourly volcanic SO2 flux using plume satellite imagery and chemistry- transport modelling: application to the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption
P-12 S. Corradini (INGV Roma, Italy)
Volcanic ash and SO2 retrievals using multispectral satellite sensors in the thermal infrared spectral range: error assessment and perspectives.
P-13 N. Kristiansen (NILU, Norway)
Estimating the ash and SO2 source terms for the 2011–Grimsvötn eruption – for improved volcanic cloud forecasting
P-14 E. Marchetti (University of Firenze, Italy)
Towards real-time measurements of tephra fallout grain-size distribution
P-15 A. Van Eaton (Arizona State University, USA)
Incorporating field measurements of ash aggregation into high-resolution eruption col- umn models: insights for faster-running treatments
P-16 M. Woodhouse (University of Bristol, UK)
PlumeRise - a web-tool for modelling volcanic plumes rising in a wind field
P-17 L. Mastin (USGS - CVO, USA)
Do one-dimensional plume models improve estimates of mass eruption rate?
P-18 W. Degruyter (Georgia Institute of Technology, USA)
Effect of wind on mass flow rate estimates and the column collapse condition of volcanic plumes
P-19 TB. Langmann (University of Hamburg, Germany)
Interactive numerical modeling of the atmospheric water cycle and volcanic ash aggregation
P-20 H. Dacre (University of Reading, UK)
Comparison of volcanic ash cloud observations and model predictions
P-21 A. Martí (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Spain)
On-line coupling of volcanic ash and sulfate aerosols with global and regional meteorological models
P-22 B. Stunder (NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, USA)
A new web site for running HYSPLIT for volcanic ash
P-23 H. Schwaiger (USGS - CVO, USA)
Did the 2008 eruption of Kasatochi cause the 2008 North Pacific phytoplankton bloom?: Insights from fallout modelling
P-24 G. Bagheri(University of Geneva, Switzerland)
A new model for the predication of drag of non-spherical volcanic particles
P-25 K.V. Cashman (University of Bristol, UK)
Breaking magma: Controls on magma fragmentation and ash formation
P-26 Eun-Suk Jang (Hanzhong University, South Korea)
A case analysis of volcanic ash dispersion when Mt. Baegdu is erupted
P-27 M.A. Pfeffer (Icelandic Meteorological Office, Iceland)
Monitoring volcanoes in Iceland; an update
P-28 C. Scaini (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Spain)
GIS-based tool to support civil aviation management during explosive volcanic eruptions
P-29 S. Karlsdóttir (Icelandic Meteorological Office, Iceland)
Integrated risk assessment of volcanoes in Iceland
P-30 S. Biass (University of Geneva, Switzerland)
Risk assessment for tephra dispersal and sedimentation: the example of four Icelandic volcanoes
P-31 S. Barsotti (Icelandic Meteorological Office, Iceland)
A multi-model approach to forecast volcanic ash dispersal at Mt. Etna: statistical analysis and evaluation of model outcomes
P-32 S. Scollo (INGV, Sezione di Catania, Italy)
Improvement of Etna Volcanic Ash Monitoring and Forecasting
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