Election Interventions and Civil Conflict

Simon Hug1 2 Nikolay Marinov3  
Département de science politique et relations internationales,
Université de Genève
CefES, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca
Department of Political Science, University of Houston

Paper prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (Montreal, September 15-18, 2022)

Abstract

Recent research has documented that external interventions in elections are surprisingly frequent. Thus, observers make elections fairer, and more partisan interventions appear to affect the election results. Few studies, however, have assessed how interventions lead to violent actions by actors potentially considering these interventions as unfair. Combining information on election interventions with data on violence and taking into account the endogenous nature of election interventions we assess how the latter affect violence by government and opposition groups.

Footnotes:

1  Département de science politique et relations internationales, Faculté des sciences de la société; Université de Genève; 40 Bd du Pont d'Arve; 1211 Genève 4; Switzerland; phone ++41 22 379 83 78; email:simon.hug@unige.ch
2  CefES research fellow, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca 3   Departement of political science, University of Houston; USA, email: niki.marinov@gmail.com



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