| dep=newg+split | theoretical model | theoretical model with controls | ||||
| only credible | only credible | only non credible | ||||
| b | se | b | se | b | se | |
| beta0 | 0.1872 | 0.1072 | 0.2338 | 0.1112 | ||
| FPARTYFI | 0.2855 | 0.1409 | 0.243 | 0.1454 | 0.2849 | 0.3324 |
| FPETITIO | -0.0959 | 0.2263 | -0.1135 | 0.2222 | -0.112 | 0.0619 |
| FRCOSTS | 0.7517 | 1.1658 | 0.6572 | 1.1338 | -0.9349 | 0.8365 |
| gamma0 | 0.0944 | 0.2486 | 0.0804 | 0.2251 | ||
| n | 261 | 261 | ||||
| mllik | -0.752888 | -0.747774 | ||||
| llik | -196.503768 | -195.169014 | ||||
| dep=newg | theoretical model | theoretical model with controls | ||||
| all elections | only credible | |||||
| b | se | b | se | b | se | |
| beta0 | -0.2839 | 0.1136 | -0.2157 | 0.1267 | 0.6364 | 0.387 |
| FPARTYFI | 0.2883 | 0.1724 | 0.226 | 0.1765 | -0.1143 | 0.056 |
| FPETITIO | 0.0028 | 0.1292 | -0.0217 | 0.1608 | -2.7803 | 1.495 |
| FRCOSTS | 1.0717 | 1.3009 | 0.904 | 1.3005 | -0.2325 | 0.282 |
| gamma0 | -0.1889 | 0.2686 | ||||
| n | 261 | 261 | ||||
| mllik | -0.884184 | -0.877294 | ||||
| llik | -230.772024 | -228.973734 | ||||
| dep=asplit | theoretical model | theoretical model with controls | ||||
| all elections | only credible | |||||
| b | se | b | se | b | se | |
| beta0 | -0.8088 | 0.1817 | -0.8088 | 0.1929 | -0.9184 | 1.1023 |
| FPARTYFI | 0.2314 | 0.226 | 0.232 | 0.2316 | -0.0206 | 0.0956 |
| FPETITIO | -0.097 | 0.256 | -0.0966 | 0.2665 | 2.1571 | 1.8037 |
| FRCOSTS | 0.9516 | 1.5612 | 0.952 | 1.5835 | 0.1193 | 0.2824 |
| gamma0 | 0.1158 | 0.3738 | ||||
| n | 261 | 261 | ||||
| mllik | -0.716422 | -0.713609 | ||||
| llik | -186.986142 | -186.251949 | ||||