Program
Monday, 18 November 2013
(Room C1, WMO)
| 08:00-08:30 | Morning Coffee and Registration | |||
| 08:30-09:00 | Workshop opening ceremony Representatives from WMO (H. Puempel; WMO; Chief, Aeronautical Meteorology Division), ICAO (G. Brock; ICAO, Meteorology Section), University of Geneva (Ll. Fontboté; Vice Dean of Faculty of Science) |
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| Session 1A – Progress since 2010 and ongoing projects Conveners: A. Folch, H. Puempel |
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| 09:00-09:15 | Introduction to the session S. Loughlin (BGS, UK) |
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| 09:00-09:15 | C. Bonadonna (UNIGE, Switzerland) Outcomes from the first IUGG-WMO workshop on Ash Dispersal Forecast and Civil Aviation (November 18-20, 2010) |
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| 09:30-09:45 | M. Guffanti (USGS, USA) Scientific Progress and Recommendations from the IVATF |
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| 09:45-10:00 | S. Loughlin (BGS, UK) Summary of volcanology projects since 2010 |
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| 10:00-10:15 | I. Lisk (WMO, UK) Volcanoes and Aviation - Detection, Prediction and Expectation |
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| 10:15-10:30 | R. Clarkson (Rolls Royce, UK) The Impact Volcanic Ash has on Jet Engines - Latest Understanding |
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| 10:30-11:00 | Coffee Break | |||
| 11:00-11:15 | L. Clarisse (ULB, Belgium) The Support to Aviation Control Service, an overview and recent developments |
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| 11:15-11:30 | A. Haefele (MeteoSwiss, Switzerland) A European network for ground based profiling of wind and aerosols E-PROFILE |
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| 11:30-11:45 | F. Prata (NILU, Norway) The Volcanic Ash Strategic initiative Team-VAST: Advanced satellite retrievals of volcanic ash and SO2 |
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| 11:45-12:00 | F. Ferrucci (The Open University, Milton Keynes, U.K.) Real-time global volcano monitoring by geostationary and polar orbiting payloads |
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| 12:00-12:15 | E. Carboni (Oxford University, UK) SMASH overview and ash related projects at University of Oxford |
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| 12:15-12:30 | S. Mobbs (Leeds University, UK) Observing and Modelling Near- to Far-Field Plume Processes: Update on the VANAHEIM Project |
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| 12:30-12:45 | A. Neri (INGV, Italy) The contributions of the EU-funded MEDiterranean SUpersite Volcanoes (MED-SUV) project to the assessment of volcanic ash hazard |
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| 12:45-13:00 | M. Gudmundsson (University of Iceland, Iceland) FUTUREVOLC: A European supersite project on an integrated monitoring network for Icelandic eruptions |
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| 12:45-14:30 | Lunch (WMO cafeteria) | |||
| Session 1B – Operational response to recent eruptions: practice and challenges Conveners: M. Hort, C. Bonadonna |
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| 14:30–14:45 | R. Potts (Darwin VAAC, Australia) Dispersion Modelling and the Provision of Warnings for Volcanic Ash in the Australian Region |
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| 14:45–15:00 | C. Davis (Wellington VAAC, New Zealand) The eruption of Mt. Tongariro on August 6th 2012: Operational respon- se and dispersion modelling challenges |
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| 15:00–15:15 | S. Osores (SMN on behalf of VAAC Buenos Aires, Argentina) The Puyehue-Cordón Caulle re-suspended volcanic ash event |
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| 15:15–15:30 | N. Ek (Montreal VAAC, Canada) A Case Study of Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Sensitivity: Implications for Volcanic Ash Modelling |
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| 15:30–15:45 | N. Asencio (Toulouse VAAC, France) MOCAGE Accident description and operational use |
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| 15:45–16:00 | T. Ueyama (Tokyo VAAC, Japan) Volcanic Ash Fall Forecasts of Japan Meteorological Agency |
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| 16.00-16:30 | Coffee Break) | |||
| 16:30–16:45 | C. Witham (London VAAC, UK) VAAC London operational response and developments following the recent Icelandic eruptions |
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| 16:45–17:00 | J. Osiensky (Anchorage VAAC, USA) Data integration, analysis/forecast process, and collaboration: Path toward a global harmonization of volcanic ash products and services |
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| 17:00–17:15 | J. Kibler (Washington VAAC, USA) Building relationships for better ash products: Overcoming language barriers, limited observational data, technology limitations and inaccurate weather models by enhancing communication in equatorial locations |
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| 17:15–17:30 | C. Newhall (WOVO) A view from the volcano observatory |
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| 17:30–17:45 | P. Webley (AVO, USA) Lessons learned from North Pacific Volcanoes: AVO, KVERT and SVERT |
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| 17:45–18:00 | M. Coltelli (INGV, Catania, Italy) The 2011-2013 lava fountains of Mt. Etna forming volcanic ash clouds have represented a test case for observatory operations in support to aviation safety management |
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| 18:00–18:15 | S. Karlsdóttir (IMO, Iceland) Monitoring volcanoes in Iceland; an update |
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| 18:15-18:30 | Closing of first day of conference | |||
| 18:30-20:30 | Ice breaker/Poster session |
Tuesday, 19 November 2013
(Room C1, WMO)
| Session 2A – Characterization of Eruption Source Parameters Conveners: C. Bonadonna, S. Loughlin |
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| 08:30-08:45 | Introduction to the session P. Webley (University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA) |
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| 08:45-09:00 | A. Höskuldsson FUTUREVOLC real-time tephra sampling: a state-of-the-art mobile laboratory to characterize eruptive dynamics and enhance ash-dispersal forecasting |
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| 09:00-09:15 | S. Valade (University of Florence, Italy) Ground-based imaging of volcanic plumes for mass flux |
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| 09:15-09:30 | F. Marzano (Roma University, Italy) Remote Sensing of Volcanic Ash Plumes Using Microwave Scanning Weather Radars |
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| 09:30-09:45 | L. Mona (CNR Potenza, Italy) Four-dimensional distribution of the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull volcanic cloud over Europe observed by EARLINET |
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| 09:45-10:00 | M. Ripepe (University of Florence, Italy) Characterization of eruption source parameters through infrasound |
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| 10:00-10:15 | M. Pavolonis (NOAA/NESDIS, USA) Development of a System for Quantitatively Analysing Volcanic Clouds |
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| 10:15-10:30 | M. Watson (Bristol University, UK) Detection and quantification of volcanogenic sulphur dioxide using orbital, sub-orbital and ground-based instrumentation |
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| 10:30-11:00 | Coffee Break | |||
| 11:00-11:15 | S. Lane (Lancaster University, UK) Models and experimental investigations of particle aggregation |
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| 11:15-11:30 | A. Durant (NILU, Norway) Ash particle aggregation governed by hydrometeor formation in volcanic clouds |
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| 11:30-11:45 | K. Weber (University of Dusseldorf, Germany) Airborne in-situ measurements in volcanic plumes with light aircraft - examples of research flights during eruptions of Eyjfjallajökull, Grimsvötn, Etna, Stromboli and Sakurajima volcano |
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| 11:45-12:00 | R. Meerkötter (DLR, Germany) VolcATS – Volcanic ash impact on the Air Transport System |
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| 12:00-12:15 | M. Bursik (Buffalo University, USA) Dynamics of bent-over plumes and MER calculation |
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| 12:15-12:30 | Y. Suzuki (Tokyo University, Japan) 3D numerical simulation of volcanic plume dynamics and ash dispersal |
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| 12:30-12:45 | C. Connor (USF, USA) Eruption frequency and ESP uncertainty |
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| 12:45-13:00 | L. Mastin (USGS, USA) Compilation of a global eruption dataset with source parameters and observations for model validation |
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| 13:00-14:15 | Lunch (WMO cafeteria) | |||
| Session 2B – Characterization of Eruption Source Parameters | ||||
| 14:30-16:00 | Break-out sessions | |||
| 16:00-16:30 | Coffee Break | |||
| 16:45-18:00 | Plenary discussion Mediators: Organizing committee |
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| 18:15 | Closing of second day of conference | |||
| 18:15-19:45 | Poster session | |||
| 20:30 | Meeting dinner Restaurant Vieux-Bois,12 Avenue de la Paix,1202 Geneve. |
Wednesday, 20 November 2013
(Room C1, WMO)
| Session 3A– Ash and gas dispersal modelling Conveners: P. Webley, A. Folch |
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| 08:45-09:00 | Introduction to the session M. Hort (Met. Office, UK) |
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| 09:00-09:15 | S. Galmarini (EC/DG -JRC/IES) TANSTAAFL: issues to keep in mind when using multi-model ensembles |
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| 09:15-09:30 | A. Stohl (NILU, Norway) Inverse modelling of source term and data assimilation |
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| 09:30-09:45 | R. Denlinger (USGS - CVO, USA) Improving ash cloud forecasts via Bayesian learning algorithms |
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| 09:45-10:00 | M. Herzog (Cambridge University, UK) Assessing the potential to observe volcanic ash clouds from space by combining volcanic plume simulations with microwave radiometric remote sensing |
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| 10:00-10:15 | A. Schmidt (University of Leeds, UK) Sulfur pollution from Icelandic volcanic eruptions |
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| 10:15-10:30 | A. Costa (INGV Bologna, Italy) Modelling strategies for particle aggregation in volcanic plumes |
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| 10:30-11:00 | Coffee Break | |||
| Session 3B –Ash and gas dispersal modelling | ||||
| 11:00-13:30 | Break-out sessions List of groups for break-out sessions will be provided at the meeting |
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| 13:30-14:30 | Lunch (WMO cafeteria) | |||
| 14:45-16:15 | Plenary discussion Mediators: Organizing committee |
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| 16:15-16:45 | Coffee Break | |||
| 16:45-17:15 | Presentation of main points to include in consensual document Mediators: Organizing Committee |
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| 17:30 | Closing of Conference |
List of Posters
| P-01 | U. Kueppers (LMU, Germany) “VERTIGO” (FP7–people–2013–ITN) volcanic ash: field, experimental and numerical investigations of processes during its lifecycle |
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| P-02 | B.M. Steensen (Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Norway) The national Norwegian ash project |
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| P-03 | V. Ahluwalia (Ministry of Defence, UK) UK MOD Volcanic Ash Research Programme |
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| P-04 | G. Wotawa (National Meteorological Centre, Austria) Operational demonstration services for volcanic ash prediction - activities of the Austrian Meteorological Service (ZAMG) as part of the ESA project VAST |
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| P-05 | J. Dehn (University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA) A University-Based Startup Company to Enable Near Real-Time Decision Making of Volcanic Hazards |
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| P-06 | S. Carn (Michigan Technological University, USA) NASA Volcanic Cloud Products for Aviation Hazard Mitigation |
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| P-07 | G. Pujol (Servicio Meteorologico Nacional, Argentina) Space-borne Operational Products for Volcanic Ash Cloud Monitoring in Argentina |
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| P-08 | S. Millington (Met Office, UK) The application of satellite data to support the London VAAC |
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| P-09 | S. Kox (DLR-Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Germany) A new approach on the detection of volcanic ash clouds |
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| P-10 | L. Merucci (INGV, Italy) The APhoRISM project: MACE integrated approach for volcanic products |
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| P-11 | M. Boichu (IPSL, France) Inverting for hourly volcanic SO2 flux using plume satellite imagery and chemistry- transport modelling: application to the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption |
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| P-12 | S. Corradini (INGV Roma, Italy) Volcanic ash and SO2 retrievals using multispectral satellite sensors in the thermal infrared spectral range: error assessment and perspectives. |
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| P-13 | N. Kristiansen (NILU, Norway) Estimating the ash and SO2 source terms for the 2011–Grimsvötn eruption – for improved volcanic cloud forecasting |
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| P-14 | E. Marchetti (University of Firenze, Italy) Towards real-time measurements of tephra fallout grain-size distribution |
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| P-15 | A. Van Eaton (Arizona State University, USA) Incorporating field measurements of ash aggregation into high-resolution eruption col- umn models: insights for faster-running treatments |
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| P-16 | M. Woodhouse (University of Bristol, UK) PlumeRise - a web-tool for modelling volcanic plumes rising in a wind field |
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| P-17 | L. Mastin (USGS - CVO, USA) Do one-dimensional plume models improve estimates of mass eruption rate? |
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| P-18 | W. Degruyter (Georgia Institute of Technology, USA) Effect of wind on mass flow rate estimates and the column collapse condition of volcanic plumes |
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| P-19 | TB. Langmann (University of Hamburg, Germany) Interactive numerical modeling of the atmospheric water cycle and volcanic ash aggregation |
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| P-20 | H. Dacre (University of Reading, UK) Comparison of volcanic ash cloud observations and model predictions |
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| P-21 | A. Martí (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Spain) On-line coupling of volcanic ash and sulfate aerosols with global and regional meteorological models |
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| P-22 | B. Stunder (NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, USA) A new web site for running HYSPLIT for volcanic ash |
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| P-23 | H. Schwaiger (USGS - CVO, USA) Did the 2008 eruption of Kasatochi cause the 2008 North Pacific phytoplankton bloom?: Insights from fallout modelling |
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| P-24 | G. Bagheri(University of Geneva, Switzerland) A new model for the predication of drag of non-spherical volcanic particles |
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| P-25 | K.V. Cashman (University of Bristol, UK) Breaking magma: Controls on magma fragmentation and ash formation |
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| P-26 | Eun-Suk Jang (Hanzhong University, South Korea) A case analysis of volcanic ash dispersion when Mt. Baegdu is erupted |
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| P-27 | M.A. Pfeffer (Icelandic Meteorological Office, Iceland) Monitoring volcanoes in Iceland; an update |
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| P-28 | C. Scaini (Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Spain) GIS-based tool to support civil aviation management during explosive volcanic eruptions |
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| P-29 | S. Karlsdóttir (Icelandic Meteorological Office, Iceland) Integrated risk assessment of volcanoes in Iceland |
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| P-30 | S. Biass (University of Geneva, Switzerland) Risk assessment for tephra dispersal and sedimentation: the example of four Icelandic volcanoes |
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| P-31 | S. Barsotti (Icelandic Meteorological Office, Iceland) A multi-model approach to forecast volcanic ash dispersal at Mt. Etna: statistical analysis and evaluation of model outcomes |
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| P-32 | S. Scollo (INGV, Sezione di Catania, Italy) Improvement of Etna Volcanic Ash Monitoring and Forecasting |